{"id":6414,"date":"2024-04-26T09:50:02","date_gmt":"2024-04-26T04:20:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gwcindia.in\/blog\/\/?p=6414"},"modified":"2024-08-31T16:39:45","modified_gmt":"2024-08-31T11:09:45","slug":"fx-morning-update-april-26-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/fx-morning-update-april-26-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"FX-Morning Update:"},"content":{"rendered":"

FX Morning Update USD INR April 26, 2024<\/h1>\r\n

USDINR opened at 83.34 y\u2019day and the pair traded in the 83.31-83.41 range. Spot USDINR closed at 83.31,\u00a0unchanged for USD as against prior close of 83.31.<\/b><\/p>\r\n

RBI reference rate was fixed at 83.375 on 25\/04<\/b>.\u00a0<\/b>Apr USD\/INR closed at 83.33, gain of 1 ps for USD as compared to prior day\u2019s close of 83.32. Apr Euro\/INR closed at 89.34, GBP\/INR at 104.21 and Yen\/INR at 53.62. 1 year USDINR fwd premia was trading at around 1.62% p.a<\/a>. \u00a0<\/a><\/a>FX reserves stood at USD 643 bn, as on April 12 th. Reserves decreased by USD 5 bn w\/w.<\/b><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n
\r\n

PAIRS<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

RBI REF RATE (25\/04)<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

USDINR<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.375<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

EURINR<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

89.41<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

GBPINR<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

104.18<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

JPYINR<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

53.57<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n

<\/a><\/a>In April, FPI\u2019S have sold Rs 7608 Cr of Equities and sold Rs 10896 Cr of debt . In\u00a0<\/b>FY 23-24, FII\u2019S have net bought Rs 206279 Cr of Equities and have net bought Rs 123120 Cr of debt.<\/b><\/p>\r\n

Benchmark Nifty climbed 168 points (0.75%) y\u2019day. US S&P declined 23 points (0.46%) y\u2019day. Nikkei closed flat and Hang Seng climbed 0.48% y\u2019day.<\/b><\/p>\r\n

Euro is now at 1.0726, Pound at 1.2504, Yen at 155.63.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n

Commodities:<\/u><\/b>\u00a0<\/u><\/b>Gold is now at USD 2328 and WT1Crude at USD 83\/Brent at USD 89.40.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n

Interest<\/u><\/b>\u00a0rates<\/b>: USD 10 Yr yield is at 4.70% and 3 m libor closed at 5.59%. Indian 10 yr benchmark yield closed at 7.20%.<\/b><\/p>\r\n

<\/a>Economic<\/b><\/a><\/a><\/a><\/a><\/a><\/a><\/a>\u00a0news<\/b><\/a>:\u00a0<\/a><\/a>US real GDP grew at an annualized rate of 1.6% in Q1, missing expectation of 2.1%, sharply lower than Q4\u2019s 3.4%.<\/b>\u00a0Price index for gross domestic purchases increased 3.1% in Q1, compared with an increase of 1.9% in the Q4. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 3.4%, compared with an increase of 1.8%. Excluding food and energy prices, PCE price index increased 3.7%, compared with an increase of 2.0%.<\/b><\/p>\r\n

US 10 Year Treasury yields jumped to 4.71%. US Equities declined sharply. USD attempted to regain last few days fall. Lower growth with higher inflation poses a challenge as higher rates have failed to curb inflation, but may be having a negative impact on growth.<\/b><\/p>\r\n

Data highlights:<\/b>\u00a0– US Weekly jobless claims dipped to 207k and pending home sales climbed 3.4% m\/m.<\/b><\/p>\r\n

Friday\u2019s calendar\u00a0: – US Personal income, spending, Core PCE index<\/b><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n
\r\n

USD\/INR<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\u00a0<\/td>\r\n\r\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/b>83.405<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.31<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

EUR\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0726<\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\u00a0<\/td>\r\n\r\n

1.0741<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0678<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

GBP\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2504<\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\u00a0<\/td>\r\n\r\n

1.2525<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2454<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

USD\/JPY<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

155.63<\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\u00a0<\/td>\r\n\r\n

155.76<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

155.26<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n

Daily Support\/Resistance table<\/b><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n
\r\n

Currency Pairs<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Pivot<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

R1<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

R2<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

R3<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

S1<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

S2<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

S3<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

EURO\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0715<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0752<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0778<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0815<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0689<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0652<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0626<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

GBP\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2495<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2536<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2566<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2607<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2465<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2424<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2394<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

USD\/JPY<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

155.54<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

155.82<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

156.04<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

156.32<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

155.32<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

155.04<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

154.82<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

USD\/INR<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.34<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.37<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.44<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.28<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.24<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n

MAJOR<\/b>\u00a0<\/b>SUPPORTS\/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n
\r\n

Currency Pair<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Supports<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Resistances<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Trend<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

Remarks<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

EURO\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.06\/1.0520<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.0725\/1.08<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

DN<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

UP>1.0885<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

GBP\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2330\/1.2220<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

1.2485\/1.2540<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

DN<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

UP>1.2540<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

USD\/JPY<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

152\/150.80<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

154.80\/156<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

UP<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

SIDE<152<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

USD\/INR<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.27\/83.17\/83.10<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

83.47\/83.70<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

UP<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

SIDE<83.17<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n

\r\n

USD\/CHF<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

0.89<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

0.9230<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

UP<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n

\r\n

SIDE<0.89<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n

Technicals<\/b>: Spot closed above major moving averages.20 day moving average is at 83.40. 50 day moving average is at 83.11. 200 day moving average is at 82.97. Daily MACD is in sell zone. Important support is at 83.27\/83.17\/83.10 and important resistance is at 83.47\/83.70. Spot closed below the average level of the day.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n

Intraday supports and resistances for April contract are:<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n

PP: 83.34, S1:83.28, S2:83.24, R1:83.38, R2:83.44.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\r\n

Hedging strategy: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n

However on directional basis, suggest the following:<\/b><\/p>\r\n

USD imports be hedged on decline to 83.27\/83.17\/83.10.<\/b><\/p>\r\n

CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:<\/b><\/p>\r\n

EURO\/USD<\/b>:\u00a0The pair is below major moving averages. Major resistance is at 1.0725\/1.08.\u00a0Next major support is at 1.06\/1.0520\/1.0450.\u00a0Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying an important top at 1.0885. Weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.1140.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n

GBP\/USD<\/b>: The pair is below major moving averages. Daily MACD\u00a0is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.2710 and weekly MACD is\u00a0in sell zone, implying important top at 1.2895. Important support is at 1.2330\/1.2230. Important resistance is at 1.2485\/1.2540.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n

USD\/YEN<\/b>: The pair is\u00a0above major moving averages. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 150.80. Important resistance is at 154.80\/156 and support is at 152\/150.80.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n

Click to open an Account<\/strong>\u00a0:\u00a0https:\/\/ekyc.gwcindia.in\/client\/<\/a><\/p>\r\n

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FX Morning Update USD INR April 26, 2024 USDINR opened at 83.34 y\u2019day and the pair traded in the 83.31-83.41 range. Spot USDINR closed at 83.31,\u00a0unchanged for USD as against prior close of 83.31. RBI reference rate was fixed at 83.375 on 25\/04.\u00a0Apr USD\/INR closed at 83.33, gain of 1 ps for USD as compared […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":6292,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"image","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6414","post","type-post","status-publish","format-image","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-currency-update","post_format-post-format-image"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6414","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6414"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6414\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8921,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6414\/revisions\/8921"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6414"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6414"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6414"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}