<\/a>: Indian June PMI(mfrg) rose to 58.3, up from 57.5 in May.<\/b><\/p>\r\nUSD was boosted by prospects of Trump victory. Trump policies may lead to higher inflation due to increase in import tariffs. Higher fiscal deficit policy may also lead to uptick in inflation.<\/b><\/p>\r\n
At the ECB forum, Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the \u201cquite a big of progress\u201d made in reducing inflation toward 2% target. He also acknowledged the recent inflation readings, stating, \u201cThe last reading and the one before it, to a lesser extent, suggest that we are getting back on the disinflationary path.\u201dPowell emphasized the need for Fed to be confident that inflation is sustainably moving toward the 2% target before considering policy easing.<\/b><\/p>\r\n
He also cautioned against premature rate cuts, \u201cWe\u2019re well aware that if we go too soon, we can undo the good work we\u2019ve done. If we do it too late, we could unnecessarily undermine the recovery and the expansion.\u201d<\/b><\/p>\r\n
ECB President Christine Lagarde hinted that the central bank is not in a hurry to cut interest rates again following its initial rate cut in June.She highlighted that the central bank is facing \u201cseveral uncertainties\u201d concerning future inflation. These uncertainties primarily revolve around the dynamics of profits, wages, and productivity, and the potential impact of new supply-side shocks.Lagarde emphasized that it will take time to accumulate sufficient data to be confident that the \u201crisks of above-target inflation have passed.\u201d<\/b><\/p>\r\n
Focus is on US employment data.<\/b><\/p>\r\n
Data highlights:<\/b>\u00a0– US ISM(mfrg) declined to 48.5 and construction spending declined -0.1% m\/m.<\/b><\/p>\r\n
-EU PMI(mfrg-final) was reported at 45.8. Core CPI climbed 2.9% y\/y.<\/b><\/p>\r\n
-EU unemployment rate was reported at 6.4%.<\/b><\/p>\r\n
-UK PMI(mfrg-final) dipped to 50.9.<\/b><\/p>\r\n
Wednesday\u2019s calendar\u00a0: – US ADP employment report, weekly jobless claims<\/b><\/p>\r\n
-US ISM (services) and factory orders<\/b><\/p>\r\n
-EU PMI(services), PPI<\/b><\/p>\r\n
-UK PMI(services)<\/b><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n| \r\n USD\/INR<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n \u00a0<\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \u00a0<\/td>\r\n | \r\n \u00a0<\/span><\/b>83.56<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 83.47<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n EUR\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0741<\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \u00a0<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0749<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0709<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n GBP\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2683<\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \u00a0<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2692<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2615<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n USD\/JPY<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 161.60<\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \u00a0<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 161.77<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 161.27<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n Daily Support\/Resistance table<\/b><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n| \r\n Currency Pairs<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n Pivot<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n R1<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n R2<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n R3<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n S1<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n S2<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n S3<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n EURO\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0736<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0763<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0777<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0804<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0723<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0695<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0682<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n USD\/JPY<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 161.51<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 161.75<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 162.01<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 162.25<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 161.25<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 161.01<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 160.74<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n GBP\/USD<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2665<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2715<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2742<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2791<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2638<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2588<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2562<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n USD\/INR<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 83.50<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 83.53<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 83.59<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n \u00a0<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 83.49<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 83.41<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n \u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\nMAJOR<\/b>\u00a0<\/b>SUPPORTS\/RESISTANCES AND TREND TABLE<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n| \r\n Currency Pair<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n Supports<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n Resistances<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n Trend<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n Remarks<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n EURO\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0610<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.0765\/1.09<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n DN<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n UP>1.09<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n GBP\/USD<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2535<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 1.2740\/1.2825<\/span><\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n UP<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n DN<1.2535<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n USD\/JPY<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 158.80<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 162<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n UP<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n SIDE<158.80<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n USD\/INR<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 83.34<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 83.70<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n UP<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n SIDE<83.30<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n\r\n| \r\n USD\/CHF<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 0.8825\/0.8730<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n 0.9035<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n DN<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n | \r\n UP>0.9035<\/span><\/b><\/p>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\nTechnicals<\/b>: Spot closed above 50 and 200 day moving averages.20 day moving average is at 83.49. 50 day moving average is at 83.44. 200 day moving average is at 83.21. Daily MACD is in sell zone. Important support is at 83.34 and important resistance is at 83.70. Spot closed below the average level of the day.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n Intraday supports and resistances for July contract are:<\/b><\/p>\r\n PP: 83.57, S1:83.51, S2:83.48, R1:83.61, R2:83.66.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\r\n Hedging strategy: Hedging decisions be taken according to comfort and accounting rates.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n However on directional basis, suggest the following:<\/b><\/p>\r\n USD exports be hedged at 83.60+.<\/b><\/p>\r\n CROSS CURRENCY TECHNICALS:<\/b><\/p>\r\n EURO\/USD<\/b>:\u00a0The pair is below major moving averages. Major resistance is at 1.0790\/1.09.\u00a0Next major support is at 1.0610.\u00a0Daily MACD is in sell zone, implying an important top at 1.09. Weekly MACD is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.1140.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n GBP\/USD<\/b>: The pair is between major moving averages. Daily MACD\u00a0is in sell zone, implying important top at 1.2825 and weekly MACD is\u00a0in sell zone, implying important top at 1.2825. Important support is at 1.2535. Important resistance is at 1.2740\/1.2825.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n USD\/YEN<\/b>: The pair is\u00a0above major moving averages. Daily MACD is in buy zone, implying important bottom at 154.55. Important resistance is at 162 and support is at 158.80.<\/b><\/b><\/p>\r\n Click to open an Account<\/strong>\u00a0:\u00a0https:\/\/ekyc.gwcindia.in\/client\/<\/a><\/p>\r\nFor all your investment needs feel free to reach us.<\/strong>\r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n\r\n Give us Missed Call us on 90037 90027 . For Support : 044-40329999<\/strong><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"FX Morning Update USD INR July 3, 2024 USDINR opened at 83.48\u00a0\u00a0y\u2019day and the pair traded in the 83.47-83.56 range. Spot USDINR closed at 83.48,\u00a0gain of 3 ps for USD as against prior close of 83.45. RBI reference rate was fixed at 83.51 on 02\/07.\u00a0July USD\/INR closed at 83.55, gain of 4 ps for USD […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":6292,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"image","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-image","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-currency-update","post_format-post-format-image"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6750","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6750"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6750\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8628,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6750\/revisions\/8628"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6750"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6750"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gwcindia.in\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6750"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}} | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |